November 15, 2011

Rivals.com 2011 bowl projections

Here are our latest bowl projections for this season.

Boise State's loss to TCU opens up a potential BCS slot for Houston, and it also sends Boise tumbling down the bowl pecking order for the second season in a row. Boise was looking good for a Fiesta Bowl spot last week; this week, the Las Vegas Bowl seems likely to be the Broncos' bowl destination for the second season in a row.

In addition, there are numerous 5-5, 4-6, 5-4 and 4-5 teams in major conferences - 20 of them in all - and you can be sure bowl organizers are sweating out whether those teams become bowl-eligible. The reason: As unattractive as it might be to have a 6-6 power-conference team in your bowl, it beats having an also-ran from the MAC or Sun Belt instead.

The SEC has three 5-5 teams and two teams that are 4-6. The Big East has three at 5-5 and one at 4-5. The Big 12 has three at 5-5 and one at 5-4.

Heck, even Conference USA - which has six bowl tie-ins - has three 4-6 teams and one 5-5 squad.

A few notes about these projections:

[ Related: Huguenin: Upset could cause BCS chaos ]

A few notes about these bowl projections:

There again are 35 bowls, though there have been some name changes.

A bowl's tie-in with a league doesn't necessarily mean it will get the third-, fourth-, fifth-, etc., place team from the league; rather, it means it gets the third, fourth, fifth, etc., selection from that league.

An asterisk denotes a team that will be in the bowl because a league will not be able to fulfill its obligation. In some situations, other conferences have deals to provide teams if the "original" conference can't fill its spots; in those instances, the fill-in conference first fills it own bowl slots. If the fill-in conference doesn't have enough bowl-eligible teams, the bowl then is allowed to pick an at-large team that is bowl eligible.

BCS MATCHUPS
ROSE
Site: Pasadena, Calif.
Date: Jan. 2
Time/TV:: 5 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
Projection: Oregon vs. Wisconsin
SUGAR
Site: New Orleans
Date: Jan. 3
Time/TV:: 8:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
Projection: Alabama vs. Stanford
ORANGE
Site: Miami
Date: Jan. 4
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
Projection: Clemson vs. West Virginia
FIESTA
Site: Glendale, Ariz.
Date: Jan. 5
Time/TV:: 8:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: BCS vs. BCS
Projection: Nebraska vs. Oklahoma
BCS TITLE GAME
Site: New Orleans
Date: Jan. 9
Time/TV:: 8:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: BCS #1 vs. BCS #2
Projection: LSU vs. Oklahoma State
OTHER BOWL GAMES
NEW MEXICO
Site: Albuquerque
Date: Dec. 17
Time/TV:: 2 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Mountain West vs. Pac-12 #7
Projection: Wyoming vs. Temple*
FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO
Site: Boise, Idaho
Date: Dec. 17
Time/TV:: 5:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: MAC #3 vs. WAC
Projection: Ohio U. vs. Louisiana Tech
NEW ORLEANS
Site: New Orleans
Date: Dec. 17
Time/TV:: 9 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: C-USA vs. Sun Belt
Projection: Marshall vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
BEEF 'O'BRADY'S
Site: St. Petersburg, Fla.
Date: Dec. 20
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big East #6 vs. C-USA
Projection: USF vs. UCF
POINSETTIA
Site: San Diego
Date: Dec. 21
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Mountain West vs. WAC
Projection: TCU vs. Nevada
LAS VEGAS
Site: Las Vegas
Date: Dec. 22
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Mountain West vs. Pac-12 #5
Projection: Boise State vs. UCLA
HAWAII
Site: Honolulu
Date: Dec. 24
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: C-USA vs. WAC
Projection: SMU vs. Hawaii
INDEPENDENCE
Site: Shreveport, La.
Date: Dec. 26
Time/TV:: 5 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: ACC #7 vs. Mtn. West #3
Projection: North Carolina vs. Air Force
LITTLE CAESARS PIZZA
Site: Detroit
Date: Dec. 27
Time/TV:: 4:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big Ten #8 vs. MAC #2
Projection: IPurdue vs. Toledo
BELK
Site: Charlotte
Date: Dec. 27
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: ACC #5 vs. Big East #3
Projection: Virginia vs. Cincinnati
MILITARY
Site: Washington, D.C.
Date: Dec. 28
Time/TV:: 4:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: ACC #8 vs. Navy/open
Projection: Wake Forest vs. Navy
HOLIDAY
Site: San Diego
Date: Dec. 28
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big 12 #5 vs. Pac-12 #3
Projection: Baylor vs. Utah
CHAMPS SPORTS
Site: Orlando
Date: Dec. 29
Time/TV:: 5:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: ACC #3 vs. Big East #2/Notre Dame
Projection: Florida State vs. Notre Dame
ALAMO
Site: San Antonio
Date: Dec. 29
Time/TV:: 9 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big 12 #3 vs. Pac-12 #2
Projection: Texas vs. Washington
ARMED FORCES
Site: Dallas
Date: Dec. 30
Time/TV:: Noon/ESPN
Matchup: C-USA vs. BYU/open
Projection: Tulsa vs. BYU
PINSTRIPE
Site: New York
Date: Dec. 30
Time/TV:: 3:20 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big East #4 vs. Big 12 #7
Projection: Rutgers vs. Northwestern*
MUSIC CITY
Site: Nashville
Date: Dec. 30
Time/TV:: 6:40 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: ACC #6 vs. SEC #7
Projection: Miami vs. Tennessee
INSIGHT
Site: Tempe, Ariz.
Date: Dec. 30
Time/TV:: 10 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big Ten #4 vs. Big 12 #4
Projection: Penn State vs. Missouri
TEXAS
Site: Houston
Date: Dec. 31
Time/TV:: Noon/ESPN
Matchup: Big Ten #6 vs. Big 12 #6
Projection: Iowa vs. Texas A&M
SUN
Site: El Paso, Texas
Date: Dec. 31
Time/TV:: 2 p.m./CBS
Matchup: ACC #4 vs. Pac-12 #4
Projection: Georgia Tech vs. Arizona State
LIBERTY
Site: Memphis
Date: Dec. 31
Time/TV:: 3:30 p.m./ABC
Matchup: C-USA #1 vs. SEC #8
Projection: Houston vs. Mississippi State
KRAFT FIGHT HUNGER
Site: San Francisco
Date: Dec. 31
Time/TV:: 3:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Pac-12 #6 vs. Army/open
Projection: California vs. San Diego State
CHICK-FIL-A
Site: Atlanta
Date: Dec. 31
Time/TV:: 7:30 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: ACC #2 vs. SEC #5
Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Auburn
TICKETCITY
Site: Dallas
Date: Jan. 2
Time/TV:: Noon/ESPNU
Matchup: Big Ten #7 vs. C-USA
Projection: Illinois vs. Southern Miss
CAPITAL ONE
Site: Orlando
Date: Jan. 2
Time/TV:: 1 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big Ten #2 vs. SEC #2
Projection: Michigan State vs. Arkansas
GATOR
Site: Jacksonville
Date: Jan. 2
Time/TV:: 1 p.m./ESPN2
Matchup: Big Ten #5 vs. SEC #6
Projection: Ohio State vs. Florida
OUTBACK
Site: Tampa
Date: Jan. 2
Time/TV:: 1 p.m./ABC
Matchup: Big Ten #3 vs. SEC #3
Projection: Michigan vs. South Carolina
COTTON
Site: Arlington, Texas
Date: Jan. 6
Time/TV:: 8 p.m./Fox
Matchup: Big 12 #2 vs. SEC #4
Projection: Kansas State vs. Georgia
BBVA COMPASS
Site: Birmingham, Ala.
Date: Jan. 7
Time/TV:: 1 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: Big East #5 vs. SEC #9
Projection: Louisville vs. Vanderbilt
GoDADDY.COM
Site: Mobile, Ala.
Date: Jan. 8
Time/TV:: 9 p.m./ESPN
Matchup: MAC #1 vs. Sun Belt
Projection: Northern Illinois vs. Arkansas State

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