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November 13, 2009

On the west side of TCU's Amon G. Carter Stadium, in a seat on the 40-yard line and just beneath the overhang, legendary Dan Jenkins - perhaps America's greatest sportswriter - will watch his beloved alma mater play Utah on Saturday.

At stake for the No. 4 Horned Frogs likely is a spot in a BCS bowl - and a place in the national championship discussion. But that requires beating the 16th-ranked Utes, who have three consecutive victories over the Horned Frogs and just a year ago were the only unbeaten team in the nation.

Jenkins, 79, said TCU hasn't played a game of this magnitude in more than a half-century. He should know: He was there for the last one.

"This game is big. Huge," said Jenkins, a former Sports Illustrated writer and author of the novels "Semi-Tough," "Dead Solid Perfect" and "Baja Oklahoma," among others. "I think it's the biggest Saturday since [Oct. 15] 1955, when TCU - I truly believe - had the best team in the country with Jim Swink but lost to Texas A&M 19-16 because [coach] Abe Martin refused to kick two field goals when the Frogs led 16-12. It would've put the game out of reach."

Much has happened since then, and most of it wasn't good for TCU football.

Swink finished second to Ohio State's Howard "Hopalong" Cassady in the Heisman voting and Oklahoma won the '55 national championship. TCU finished fifth.

That was the last time TCU was involved in any type of national championship discussion. Five years later, the Frogs finished 4-4-2, and that started a period of mediocrity that was akin to wandering 40 years through the college football wilderness.

From 1960-99, TCU endured 30 losing seasons and never managed more than eight wins in a season - and that was accomplished once. Coach Jim Pittman suffered a heart attack and died on the sideline in a 1971 game against Baylor. In 1974, running back Kent Waldrep was paralyzed in a game against Alabama. When the program finally was showing signs of bouncing back in the mid-'80s, it was derailed by NCAA probation.

Then, in 1996, the Southwest Conference folded. League members Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech and Baylor joined with the Big Eight schools to create the Big 12. TCU was left out and played in the WAC and Conference USA before settling into the Mountain West in 2005.

"It's been a tough climb for a little private school going up against the state schools with their massive enrollments and sprawling alumni bases," Jenkins said. "Remember, TCU was used to being considered among the national college football elite in the '20s, '30s, '40s and '50s. Two national championships, many All-Americans, bowl teams, a Heisman winner. Then, the administration stopped competing and we had [some] brutal years."

Even when the Horned Frogs started to post double-digit victory totals in 2000, they always endured a loss that prevented them from fully returning to national prominence. A victory over Utah should complete the circle. Sure, games against Wyoming and New Mexico still remain, but neither of those teams are threats.

No, the key is Utah.

"This game is the end of a long, bitter, torturous road back to civilization," Jenkins said.

Last season, the Horned Frogs had a 10-6 lead over the Utes in the fourth quarter, but kicker Ross Evans missed two short field goals and the usually suffocating TCU defense allowed a late-scoring drive as Utah pulled out a 13-10 victory. Horned Frogs coach Gary Patterson maintains that loss has proved beneficial this season.

"It's been a learning experience," he said. "That helped us in the spring, it helped us at the first of the season and it helped us in the Poinsettia Bowl [a 17-16 victory over Boise State last season].

"We understand the difference between winning and losing is a tight fraction, a very fine line. It helped in playing Clemson in the rain and come back to win, playing Air Force in a blizzard and then going into Provo and playing in front of a big crowd there [in a rout of BYU]. It helped us grow up and helped us mature."

TCU also has learned that teams outside of the Big Six conferences don't go to BCS bowls - and can't even dream about winning the national title - unless they are undefeated.

Utah accomplished that feat a year ago and went on to upset Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. The Utes, whose only loss this season is 31-24 to Pac-10 leader Oregon, seem annoyed that so much attention has been focused on TCU.

"We are the defending [MWC] champs," Utah coach Kyle Whittingham said. "That's something that's obviously a fact. The trophy is in Salt Lake City. You've got to take it away."

The Utes also are irked that TCU is a 19.5-point favorite. College coaches almost never reference point spreads, but Whittingham admitted that has been discussed.

"That was a topic of conversation," he said. "We had some players that took note of that. Once the ball is in the air, all the hype and discussion goes out the window. It's your game plan and your players' execution level. It's how you block and tackle and all that other stuff. But, yeah, it got our players' attention."

Of course, the Utes have paid more attention to devising ways to contain TCU defensive end Jerry Hughes, move the football against the nation's fourth-ranked defense and slow down TCU's rushing attack.

TCU's attention has been focused on finally beating the Utes. If the Horned Frogs do it, barring a collapse, they'll win the MWC championship and play in a BCS bowl.

Jenkins said he feels they could even win a national championship.

"These Frogs should definitely get a shot at the national title if they beat Utah and win out, and it doesn't have to happen in the BCS," Jenkins said. "If they win the bowl game but not the BCS championship game, they can win the AP or Harris polls. And as Bear Bryant used to say, 'You only need to win one for your folks to play like you won 'em all.' "

For this week, just winning against Utah will suffice.

Who gets the edge?

TCU rush offense vs. Utah rush defense:
The Horned Frogs have won 37 in a row when rushing for at least 167 yards. They've rushed for more than 300 yards in each of the past two games. Joseph Turner leads TCU with 560 rushing yards, and four players have rushed for more than 340. Utah ranks 51st in the country in run defense. Three running backs have exceeded 100 rushing yards and three teams have eclipsed 200 yards against the Utes. LBs Mike Wright and Stevenson Sylvester and E Koa Misi have at least 50 tackles.
Edge: TCU

TCU pass offense vs. Utah pass defense:
Junior QB Andy Dalton doesn't put up huge numbers (241 yards is his highest passing output), but he doesn't make many mistakes, either (just three interceptions). Despite the modest totals, Horned Frogs WRs Jimmy Young, Jeremy Kerley and Antoine Hicks are big-play threats. TCU's line has allowed just nine sacks. Utah's secondary is one of the best in the MWC. The Utes rank 13th nationally in pass defense and have held six opponents to fewer than 200 yards passing. They've grabbed 12 interceptions and allowed just seven touchdown passes. FS Robert Johnson has five interceptions. The Utes got a boost last week when starting SS Joe Dale returned from a knee injury.
Edge: Utah

Utah rush offense vs. TCU rush defense:
Losing RB Matt Asiata to a season-ending knee injury could have been devastating. It wasn't. The Utes bounced back strong with junior Eddie Wide, who has set a school record with six consecutive 100-yard performances. Wide has rushed for 809 yards and averages 6.2 yards per carry. It helps to run behind a strong line led by T Zane Beadles. But even with a strong line, running against TCU isn't easy and is often futile. The Horned Frogs rank seventh in the nation in rushing defense, allowing just 89.7 yards per game. Five opponents finished with fewer than 100 rushing yards. LB Daryl Washington leads TCU with 70 tackles.
Edge: TCU

Utah pass offense vs. TCU pass defense:
True freshman QB Jordan Wynn passed for 297 yards and two touchdowns last week in his first career start, against winless New Mexico. The plan had been to redshirt Wynn, but that plan was scrapped at halftime of the Wyoming game, which was a week before the New Mexico game. That means Wynn has played just six quarters of college football going into a game against one of the best defenses in the nation. Wynn has a good group of receivers, led by senior David Reed, who has 58 catches for 819 yards and can score from anywhere on the field. The Utes' line is solid and has allowed only 13 sacks. TCU is fourth in the country in pass defense and among the national leaders with 26 sacks. All-American DE Jerry Hughes has nine sacks. The TCU secondary is led by CBs Nick Sanders and Rafael Priest. Opponents are completing just 46.8 percent of their passes against TCU.
Edge: TCU

TCU special teams vs. Utah special teams
TCU's Kerley is among the country's most dangerous return men. He averages 15.5 yards on punt returns and has brought two back for touchdowns. He also averages 28.9 yards on kickoff returns. K Ross Evans has converted 11 of 12 field-goal attempts, including a 48-yarder, but he missed two key attempts in last season's loss to Utah. P Anson Kelton averages only 36.1 yards, but he has killed 15 punts inside the 20. The Frogs are excellent in coverage, too. Utah K Joe Phillips has converted 11 of 13 attempts, with his long from 48 yards. Both misses were from beyond 40 yards. P Sean Sellwood averages 42.9 yards and has had nine kicks cover more than 50 yards. He's killed 12 inside the 20. The Utes have solid return and coverage teams, and they've also blocked three kicks this season.
Edge: TCU

TCU coaching staff vs. Utah coaching staff
Gary Patterson is 82-27 in nine seasons at TCU. He has guided the Horned Frogs to five 10-win seasons and one Mountain West Conference championship. Utah coach Kyle Whittingham is 45-15 in five seasons. Last season, he led the Utes to a 13-0 record, the MWC championship and a victory over Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. TCU has more experienced coordinators, with defensive coordinator Dick Bumpas among the best in the nation.
Edge: TCU

X-factor:
Turnovers always are pivotal, especially in big games. TCU is 43-1 in the past five seasons when ahead or even in turnover margin. Utah has committed fewer turnovers than its opponent in five games this season.

TCU will win if:
The Horned Frogs need to run effectively, then pressure Wynn, Utah's inexperienced quarterback. They must avoid allowing big plays and force Utah to sustain long drives to score. The Frogs are 60-1 under Patterson when allowing 17 or fewer points. The one loss was last season to Utah.

Utah will win if:
Protecting Wynn against Hughes and the TCU pass rush is the top priority. The Utes cannot afford for the freshman to get rattled. Reed has big-play ability, so getting the football to him is vital. But so is having at least a measure of success in the running game. If the Utes are consistently in obvious passing situations, TCU's pass rush will be even stronger.

EXPERT PICKS Olin Buchanan: TCU 31, Utah 21
Tom Dienhart: TCU 31, Utah 17
David Fox: TCU 28, Utah 14
Mike Huguenin: TCU 24, Utah 10
Jason King: TCU 24, Utah 21
Steve Megargee: TCU 21, Utah 10

Olin Buchanan is the senior college football writer for Rivals.com. He can be reached at olin@rivals.com.




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